Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -400 MINN +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -11.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -10.3 (+0.7) | 137.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -8.7 (+2.3) | 137.3 (+7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -10.9 (+0.1) | 136.9 (+8.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -10.6 (+0.4) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#97) | -3.1 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#68) | -0.61 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#66) | -0.91 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.444 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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