Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -240 MINN +196 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -8.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -7.3 (-10.3) | 137.8 (+15.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.3 (-9.3) | 138.2 (+14.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -7.6 (-10.6) | 138.1 (+14.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -7.4 (-10.4) | 138.8 (+14.2) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2023 | NEB 78 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#95) | -2.7 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#66) | -0.44 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#67) | -0.85 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#111) | 0.439 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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