Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | MINN +126 NEB -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -4.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -1.6 (+9.4) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -0.5 (+10.5) | 144.8 (-3.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -1.9 (+9.1) | 144.7 (-3.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -1.9 (+9.1) | 145.5 (-4.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2023 | NEB 78 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-4 | 18-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#110) | 5.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#243) | 1.53 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#225) | 2.38 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#197) | 0.546 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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