Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +170 NEB -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +19 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -8.8 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.0 (-13.0) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -7.4 (-11.6) | 133.9 (-0.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -7.0 (-12.0) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -7.3 (-11.7) | 135.4 (-2.4) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2023 | NEB 78 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#90) | 19.1 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#87) | 5.60 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#87) | 7.33 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#141) | 0.676 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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