And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -7.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money NEB -340 / MINN +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual MINN +2 132 Lost
Massey NEB -9.0 (-11.0) — —
Massey Totals — 134.5 (-2.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NEB -7.9 (-9.9) 137.0 (-5.0) 76% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NEB -8.1 (-10.1) 135.3 (-3.3) 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -8.2 (-10.2) 133.8 (-1.8) 77% ✗
Baseline ML NEB -7.9 (-9.9) 135.2 (-3.2) 75% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 NEB 76 – 57 MINN
Feb 25, 2024 NEB 73 – 55 MINN
Dec 7, 2023 MINN 76 – 65 NEB
Mar 9, 2023 MINN 78 – 75 NEB
Feb 25, 2023 NEB 78 – 67 MINN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB MINN
Overall 21-14 15-17
Conference 7-13 7-13
Home 10-6 10-9
Away 5-7 5-5
Neutral 6-1 0-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak W4 L3
Avg Pts For 76.0 68.1
Avg Pts Against 72.6 69.7
Massey 11.3 (#53) 5.6 (#93)
Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#46) 1.20 (#79)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.79 (#42) 1.66 (#74)
RPI 0.584 (#43) 0.534 (#112)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB MINN
FG% 45.4% 44.3%
3PT% 32.7% 32.1%
REB / G 35.0 33.6
OREB / G 8.9 10.4
AST / TO 1.18 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 50.1%
TOV% 16.8% 16.4%
ORB% 26.3% 30.0%
FT Rate 27.2% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 16.6%
DRB% 70.9% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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