Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +100 MER +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +28 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -1.6 (+26.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -1.1 (+26.9) | 140.1 (-22.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -0.4 (+27.6) | 138.9 (-20.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -1.0 (+27.0) | 140.9 (-22.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.7 (+27.3) | 141.4 (-23.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | WCU 77 – 73 MER |
| Feb 26, 2026 | WCU 78 – 74 MER |
| Jan 22, 2026 | MER 88 – 76 WCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | MER 67 – 66 WCU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MER 81 – 69 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#263) | -2.7 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#239) | -0.90 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#257) | -1.00 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#249) | 0.440 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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