Betting Lines
| Spread | MER -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MER -250 WCU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MER -8.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -8.0 (-7.0) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MER -4.9 (-3.9) | 150.2 (-17.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MER -7.3 (-6.3) | 146.3 (-13.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MER -7.7 (-6.7) | 145.0 (-12.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | WCU 77 – 73 MER |
| Feb 26, 2026 | WCU 78 – 74 MER |
| Jan 22, 2026 | MER 88 – 76 WCU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MER 81 – 69 WCU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WCU 85 – 82 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#259) | -13.7 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#263) | -2.31 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#281) | -2.78 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#282) | 0.414 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.