Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -3.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money OKST +138 / TEX -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual TEX +10 102 Lost
Massey OKST -0.9 (-10.9)
Massey Totals 140.9 (-38.9)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML OKST -1.3 (-11.3) 138.0 (-36.0) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -2.5 (-12.5) 141.8 (-39.8) 59%
Baseline ML OKST -2.1 (-12.1) 143.0 (-41.0) 63%
Baseline Plus ML OKST -2.7 (-12.7) 142.6 (-40.6) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 TEX 8165 OKST
Mar 10, 2023 TEX 6147 OKST
Jan 25, 2023 TEX 8975 OKST
Jan 22, 2022 TEX 5651 OKST
Jan 8, 2022 OKST 6451 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST TEX
Overall 20-16 29-9
Conference 8-10 12-6
Home 12-6 17-1
Away 6-7 4-6
Neutral 2-3 8-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.3 78.0
Avg Pts Against 65.8 67.8
Massey 11.7 (#28) 15.2 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 1.35 (#72) 2.39 (#24)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.39 (#45) 2.88 (#31)
RPI 0.571 (#65) 0.587 (#48)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST TEX
FG% 45.2% 49.7%
3PT% 33.7% 34.4%
REB / G 38.3 37.4
OREB / G 11.1 11.3
AST / TO 0.92 1.56
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 55.8%
TOV% 21.7% 16.1%
ORB% 33.6% 31.6%
FT Rate 23.0% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.6% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 24.0%
DRB% 72.6% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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