Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +138 TEX -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +10 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -0.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -1.3 (-11.3) | 138.0 (-36.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -2.5 (-12.5) | 141.8 (-39.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -2.1 (-12.1) | 143.0 (-41.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -2.7 (-12.7) | 142.6 (-40.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OKST 64 – 51 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#28) | 15.2 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#72) | 2.39 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#45) | 2.88 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#65) | 0.587 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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