I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -9.5 Away covered
O/U 124.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +5 107 Won
Massey TEX -8.5 (-3.5)
Massey Totals 120.9 (-13.9)
Bradley-Terry 70%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -7.8 (-2.8) 124.0 (-17.0) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -5.9 (-0.9) 127.0 (-20.0) 74%
Baseline ML TEX -6.6 (-1.6) 127.8 (-20.8) 74%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -6.4 (-1.4) 124.5 (-17.5) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 TEX 8165 OKST
Mar 10, 2023 TEX 6147 OKST
Jan 25, 2023 TEX 8975 OKST
Jan 7, 2023 TEX 5646 OKST
Jan 8, 2022 OKST 6451 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX OKST
Overall 22-12 15-15
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 16-3 10-6
Away 4-7 3-8
Neutral 2-2 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 W2
Avg Pts For 68.8 68.4
Avg Pts Against 60.6 65.7
Massey 14.4 (#20) 9.5 (#50)
Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#45) 1.79 (#53)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.14 (#32) 2.39 (#49)
RPI 0.563 (#78) 0.600 (#40)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX OKST
FG% 46.2% 43.0%
3PT% 32.8% 29.4%
REB / G 33.6 37.6
OREB / G 10.3 12.0
AST / TO 1.25 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 47.6%
TOV% 17.7% 20.9%
ORB% 33.0% 32.3%
FT Rate 24.1% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 45.5%
Opp TOV% 25.7% 24.5%
DRB% 71.6% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.3% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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