Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +5 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -8.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -7.8 (-2.8) | 124.0 (-17.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -5.9 (-0.9) | 127.0 (-20.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.6 (-1.6) | 127.8 (-20.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.4 (-1.4) | 124.5 (-17.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OKST 64 – 51 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#20) | 9.5 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#45) | 1.79 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#32) | 2.39 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#78) | 0.600 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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