Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -500 OKST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -11.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -10.5 (+5.5) | 145.9 (+0.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -11.1 (+4.9) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -10.5 (+5.5) | 146.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -11.2 (+4.8) | 146.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OKST 64 – 51 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#29) | 5.2 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#43) | 0.33 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#37) | 0.67 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#58) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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