The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Big 12 Conference · Moody Center · January 25, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -6.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money TEX -333 / OKST +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +14 164 Won
Massey TEX -8.8 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 134.8 (+29.2)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -9.4 (+4.6) 135.4 (+28.6) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -7.7 (+6.3) 135.5 (+28.5) 79%
Baseline ML TEX -7.9 (+6.1) 135.2 (+28.8) 83%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -8.7 (+5.3) 137.7 (+26.3) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 TEX 8165 OKST
Mar 10, 2023 TEX 6147 OKST
Jan 7, 2023 TEX 5646 OKST
Jan 22, 2022 TEX 5651 OKST
Jan 8, 2022 OKST 6451 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX OKST
Overall 29-9 20-16
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 17-1 12-6
Away 4-6 6-7
Neutral 8-2 2-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.0 68.3
Avg Pts Against 67.8 65.8
Massey 16.1 (#8) 10.9 (#35)
Bradley-Terry 3.04 (#9) 1.53 (#58)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.72 (#9) 2.20 (#51)
RPI 0.624 (#14) 0.574 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX OKST
FG% 48.2% 43.2%
3PT% 32.5% 32.6%
REB / G 35.9 37.4
OREB / G 10.4 10.6
AST / TO 1.37 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 49.6%
TOV% 16.8% 21.2%
ORB% 29.9% 31.3%
FT Rate 22.3% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 42.9%
Opp TOV% 23.3% 19.6%
DRB% 72.7% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 22.0%

Game Analysis

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