I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Big 12 Conference · Moody Center · January 25, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -6.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money TEX -333 / OKST +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +14 164 Won
Massey TEX -8.8 (+5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 134.8 (+29.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -9.4 (+4.6) 135.4 (+28.6) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -7.7 (+6.3) 135.5 (+28.5) 79% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -7.9 (+6.1) 135.2 (+28.8) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -8.7 (+5.3) 137.7 (+26.3) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 TEX 81 – 65 OKST
Mar 10, 2023 TEX 61 – 47 OKST
Jan 7, 2023 TEX 56 – 46 OKST
Jan 22, 2022 TEX 56 – 51 OKST
Jan 8, 2022 OKST 64 – 51 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX OKST
Overall 29-9 20-16
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 17-1 12-6
Away 4-6 6-7
Neutral 8-2 2-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.0 68.3
Avg Pts Against 67.8 65.8
Massey 16.1 (#8) 10.9 (#35)
Bradley-Terry 3.04 (#9) 1.53 (#58)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.72 (#9) 2.20 (#51)
RPI 0.624 (#14) 0.574 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX OKST
FG% 48.2% 43.2%
3PT% 32.5% 32.6%
REB / G 35.9 37.4
OREB / G 10.4 10.6
AST / TO 1.37 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 49.6%
TOV% 16.8% 21.2%
ORB% 29.9% 31.3%
FT Rate 22.3% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 42.9%
Opp TOV% 23.3% 19.6%
DRB% 72.7% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 22.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.