They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 8, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -3.5 Home covered
O/U 128.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +13 115 Won
Massey TEX -3.2 (+16.2)
Massey Totals 121.1 (-6.1)
Bradley-Terry 23%
Weighted B-T 14%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -1.9 (+14.9) 128.0 (-13.0) 51%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -3.6 (+16.6) 129.9 (-14.9) 32%
Baseline ML TEX -3.5 (+16.5) 129.4 (-14.4) 36%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -2.9 (+15.9) 130.1 (-15.1) 30%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 TEX 8165 OKST
Mar 10, 2023 TEX 6147 OKST
Jan 25, 2023 TEX 8975 OKST
Jan 7, 2023 TEX 5646 OKST
Jan 22, 2022 TEX 5651 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST TEX
Overall 15-15 22-12
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 10-6 16-3
Away 3-8 4-7
Neutral 2-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak W2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 68.8
Avg Pts Against 65.7 60.6
Massey 8.4 (#55) 15.6 (#16)
Bradley-Terry 0.93 (#100) 2.84 (#21)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.30 (#98) 3.87 (#22)
RPI 0.563 (#73) 0.592 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST TEX
FG% 44.8% 46.9%
3PT% 28.1% 33.7%
REB / G 38.2 34.2
OREB / G 12.5 10.7
AST / TO 0.84 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 53.1%
TOV% 21.6% 16.4%
ORB% 33.7% 34.2%
FT Rate 24.1% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 44.7%
Opp TOV% 25.8% 27.3%
DRB% 67.5% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 16.7%

Game Analysis

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