Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -3.2 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.9 (+14.9) | 128.0 (-13.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.6 (+16.6) | 129.9 (-14.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.5 (+16.5) | 129.4 (-14.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -2.9 (+15.9) | 130.1 (-15.1) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#55) | 15.6 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#100) | 2.84 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#98) | 3.87 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#73) | 0.592 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 27.3% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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