He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Texas Longhorns
61 47
FINAL Neutral Conference Big 12
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Big 12 Conference · T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · March 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -6.5 Home covered
O/U 141.0 Under
Money TEX -278 / OKST +222
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +14 108 Won
Massey TEX -6.3 (+7.7)
Massey Totals 139.0 (-31.0)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 74%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -5.1 (+8.9) 137.3 (-29.3) 72%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -5.5 (+8.5) 139.2 (-31.2) 72%
Baseline ML TEX -5.7 (+8.3) 139.1 (-31.1) 74%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -5.4 (+8.6) 139.2 (-31.2) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2024 TEX 8165 OKST
Jan 25, 2023 TEX 8975 OKST
Jan 7, 2023 TEX 5646 OKST
Jan 22, 2022 TEX 5651 OKST
Jan 8, 2022 OKST 6451 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX OKST
Overall 29-9 20-16
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 17-1 12-6
Away 4-6 6-7
Neutral 8-2 2-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.0 68.3
Avg Pts Against 67.8 65.8
Massey 17.2 (#7) 10.8 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 2.87 (#7) 1.83 (#44)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.51 (#9) 2.46 (#37)
RPI 0.602 (#19) 0.551 (#80)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX OKST
FG% 47.1% 43.6%
3PT% 34.5% 31.6%
REB / G 34.4 36.5
OREB / G 9.9 10.9
AST / TO 1.39 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 49.9%
TOV% 16.6% 20.5%
ORB% 28.6% 31.8%
FT Rate 23.7% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 45.9%
Opp TOV% 22.7% 19.0%
DRB% 70.8% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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