Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | TEX -278 OKST +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +14 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -6.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -5.1 (+8.9) | 137.3 (-29.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -5.5 (+8.5) | 139.2 (-31.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -5.7 (+8.3) | 139.1 (-31.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -5.4 (+8.6) | 139.2 (-31.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OKST 64 – 51 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#7) | 10.8 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#7) | 1.83 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#9) | 2.46 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#19) | 0.551 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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