Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | FLA -400 UGA +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -10.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -5.9 (+1.1) | 138.9 (+18.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -7.4 (-0.4) | 138.8 (+18.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -6.2 (+0.8) | 137.7 (+19.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -5.9 (+1.1) | 139.3 (+17.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FLA 86 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FLA 92 – 77 UGA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UGA 88 – 83 FLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FLA 89 – 59 UGA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | FLA 85 – 80 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#53) | 3.1 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#123) | 1.22 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#102) | 1.69 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#127) | 0.549 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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