Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +450 PRIN -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +19 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -9.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -9.3 (-9.7) | 137.1 (-20.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -11.0 (-8.0) | 138.5 (-21.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -10.1 (-8.9) | 135.3 (-18.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -9.3 (-9.7) | 135.6 (-18.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#329) | 4.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#329) | 0.28 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#329) | 0.48 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#342) | 0.505 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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