Can I kick it? Yes you can. "Can I Kick It?" - A Tribe Called Quest
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
50–25 on winners spread MAE 8.4 75 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Ohio State +5.0 141.0 68% 71–69 ✗
SMU @ Houston +20.0 132.4 91% 53–87 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +8.5 141.0 81% 72–64 ✗
Lafayette @ Boston University +4.7 130.4 68% 69–73 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland -2.2 138.8 38% 78–55 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross -7.5 129.6 21% 73–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -2.6 135.4 38% 50–68 ✗
Bryant @ Vermont +3.4 149.4 67% 64–74 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +9.3 145.4 83% 83–92 ✓
Navy @ Colgate +6.5 150.3 78% 73–87 ✓
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +6.9 150.1 74% 86–88 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida International -8.2 136.3 21% 60–62 ✗
Wagner @ Stonehill +1.6 134.2 58% 58–62 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack -0.2 129.6 47% 59–55 ✓
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut +12.2 143.3 88% 59–78 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +14.1 143.5 88% 63–62 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +6.3 135.9 73% 71–78 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -5.2 135.7 32% 76–81 ✗
Omaha @ Western Illinois +4.6 146.5 70% 78–74 ✗
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +10.0 146.6 85% 72–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +7.2 146.5 79% 56–78 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +17.0 137.0 91% 69–79 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State +4.3 136.9 68% 68–64 ✗
Drexel @ Towson +2.3 131.4 60% 58–64 ✓
Hofstra @ Hampton -9.7 151.0 18% 67–51 ✓
Stony Brook @ Monmouth -3.8 133.8 31% 67–56 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary +1.6 134.7 58% 66–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida +0.5 144.0 54% 86–89 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +16.4 136.1 89% 41–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +1.6 131.0 56% 61–73 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.2 155.2 36% 66–64 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Sam Houston +9.6 131.9 82% 72–68 ✗
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -0.3 130.9 49% 58–66 ✗
Washington State @ Arizona State +5.1 135.1 71% 71–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UTSA -7.8 147.0 22% 72–75 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Rice +3.6 155.6 71% 88–82 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -8.1 134.7 24% 72–64 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +1.2 155.1 54% 65–68 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -2.7 147.8 38% 61–75 ✗
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +8.5 133.0 81% 45–63 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State -0.2 139.1 48% 59–65 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota +1.0 143.6 57% 62–60 ✗
Denver @ St. Thomas +6.7 151.4 77% 71–81 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State -0.5 145.8 50% 80–84 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Colorado -2.4 146.1 43% 77–56 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -1.6 148.1 43% 74–75 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +4.0 145.4 66% 62–86 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay -6.7 141.6 25% 59–61 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -3.4 153.3 35% 77–75 ✓
Lamar @ LSU New Orleans +2.5 150.1 60% 55–81 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +12.8 160.4 88% 59–71 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese -4.6 138.9 29% 77–92 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +0.8 139.3 51% 49–70 ✓
Indiana @ Iowa +1.0 154.7 55% 89–91 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +0.4 133.7 51% 70–61 ✗
North Texas @ Western Kentucky -6.3 126.0 24% 70–66 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +4.3 146.3 68% 41–68 ✓
Nicholls @ East Texas A&M +0.8 148.2 55% 66–63 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +1.4 150.6 58% 82–87 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -0.9 147.4 47% 88–83 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +0.0 138.2 47% 85–83 ✗
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +4.9 152.4 71% 80–92 ✓
USC @ UCLA +13.3 142.9 87% 58–60 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +14.3 132.5 88% 60–79 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +0.1 137.9 51% 58–72 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine +0.2 153.1 50% 89–79 ✗
Pacific @ San Diego +4.6 156.0 70% 84–82 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.7 122.4 57% 51–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge -2.6 142.8 36% 84–74 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego -5.5 130.3 28% 62–49 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside +5.1 136.2 72% 77–62 ✗
Washington @ Arizona +16.5 155.9 89% 67–70 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -3.9 156.6 31% 77–75 ✓
BYU @ Loyola Marymount +2.7 144.5 62% 59–64 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +10.3 154.1 86% 74–102 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.