Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | ULM +180 GAST -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -1.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -0.3 (+8.3) | 130.9 (-6.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -2.0 (+10.0) | 131.6 (-7.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -1.2 (+9.2) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -0.5 (+8.5) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GAST 77 – 57 ULM |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GAST 97 – 64 ULM |
| Feb 24, 2022 | GAST 82 – 70 ULM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | GAST 73 – 62 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#326) | -3.8 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#283) | -0.74 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#264) | -0.73 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#300) | 0.444 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.