Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -300 ULM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +33 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -6.9 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -4.7 (+28.3) | 146.7 (+14.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GAST -5.7 (+27.3) | 148.5 (+12.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GAST -5.0 (+28.0) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -5.3 (+27.7) | 144.4 (+16.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GAST 77 – 57 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ULM 66 – 58 GAST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | GAST 82 – 70 ULM |
| Jan 29, 2022 | GAST 73 – 62 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#298) | -12.2 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#282) | -2.43 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#297) | -2.93 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#262) | 0.375 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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