Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -12.0 Push |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -8.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -8.1 (+3.9) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -9.7 (+2.3) | 142.0 (+10.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -8.2 (+3.8) | 141.3 (+10.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -7.2 (+4.8) | 140.6 (+11.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GAST 77 – 57 ULM |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GAST 97 – 64 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ULM 66 – 58 GAST |
| Jan 29, 2022 | GAST 73 – 62 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#182) | -6.8 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#172) | -0.61 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#156) | -0.77 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#203) | 0.477 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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