Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -0.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -0.2 (-11.2) | 143.5 (-8.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GAST -1.3 (-9.7) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ULM -1.1 (-12.1) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -0.8 (-11.8) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GAST 77 – 57 ULM |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GAST 97 – 64 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ULM 66 – 58 GAST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | GAST 82 – 70 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#280) | -4.0 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#216) | -0.81 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#213) | -0.72 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#188) | 0.455 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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