Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -125 LT +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -3.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -3.4 (-9.4) | 154.3 (+15.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.9 (-7.9) | 149.9 (+20.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -3.6 (-9.6) | 155.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -3.8 (-9.8) | 155.4 (+14.6) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | LT 80 – 72 RICE |
| Feb 25, 2022 | LT 83 – 79 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LT 80 – 63 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 79 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 101 – 57 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#166) | 1.4 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#74) | -0.38 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#97) | -0.29 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#92) | 0.476 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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