Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LT -9.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -10.4 (+6.6) | 151.0 (-8.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -10.5 (+6.5) | 149.7 (-6.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -10.7 (+6.3) | 151.6 (-8.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -10.2 (+6.8) | 152.4 (-9.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | LT 80 – 72 RICE |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LT 88 – 82 RICE |
| Feb 25, 2022 | LT 83 – 79 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 79 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 101 – 57 RICE |
Game Analysis
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