Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LT -225 RICE +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LT -5.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -3.4 (+4.6) | 149.0 (+3.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -4.1 (+3.9) | 149.1 (+2.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -3.1 (+4.9) | 148.9 (+3.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -2.8 (+5.2) | 150.6 (+1.4) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2023 | LT 88 – 82 RICE |
| Feb 25, 2022 | LT 83 – 79 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LT 80 – 63 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 79 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 101 – 57 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#132) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#165) | 0.81 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#167) | 0.61 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#155) | 0.529 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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