Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -4.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -1.7 (-2.3) | 155.2 (+6.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -3.0 (-1.0) | 153.0 (+9.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.7 (-2.3) | 154.2 (+7.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.9 (-2.1) | 154.3 (+7.7) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | LT 80 – 72 RICE |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LT 88 – 82 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LT 80 – 63 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 79 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 101 – 57 RICE |
Game Analysis
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