Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LT -800 RICE +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LT -8.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -11.2 (+9.8) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -8.3 (+12.7) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.5 (+9.5) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -11.5 (+9.5) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | LT 80 – 72 RICE |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LT 88 – 82 RICE |
| Feb 25, 2022 | LT 83 – 79 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LT 80 – 63 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 101 – 57 RICE |
Game Analysis
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