Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LT -500 RICE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +44 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LT -8.8 (+35.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -10.5 (+33.5) | 143.1 (+14.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -7.8 (+36.2) | 143.7 (+14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -10.1 (+33.9) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -10.1 (+33.9) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | LT 80 – 72 RICE |
| Jan 6, 2023 | LT 88 – 82 RICE |
| Feb 25, 2022 | LT 83 – 79 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LT 80 – 63 RICE |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LT 79 – 58 RICE |
Game Analysis
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