Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -400 RMU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -10.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -8.4 (+13.6) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -9.4 (+12.6) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -7.2 (+14.8) | 146.5 (-12.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -7.4 (+14.6) | 145.8 (-11.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | RMU 68 – 53 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | RMU 72 – 66 YSU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | RMU 80 – 77 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RMU 89 – 78 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | RMU 72 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#101) | -2.0 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#149) | -0.71 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#137) | -0.51 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.458 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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