Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MCN +150 NWST -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +15 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -4.1 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -6.0 (+21.0) | 138.3 (+30.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -2.9 (+17.9) | 139.6 (+29.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -4.6 (+19.6) | 138.9 (+30.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -4.7 (+19.7) | 137.8 (+31.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | MCN 75 – 64 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2025 | MCN 92 – 54 NWST |
| Mar 11, 2025 | MCN 83 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MCN 65 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2025 | MCN 92 – 69 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-14 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#333) | -1.8 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#319) | 0.79 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#336) | 0.38 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.553 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.