Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NWST +850 MCN -1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -13.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -14.4 (+3.4) | 136.0 (+3.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -13.8 (+2.8) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -12.5 (+1.5) | 135.7 (+3.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.5 (+1.5) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MCN 92 – 54 NWST |
| Mar 11, 2025 | MCN 83 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MCN 65 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2025 | MCN 92 – 69 NWST |
| Jan 30, 2024 | MCN 89 – 65 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 19-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-0 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#285) | 9.2 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#312) | 1.45 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#312) | 1.78 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#319) | 0.589 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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