Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -150 GCU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -12.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.2 (-12.2) | 129.5 (+10.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.6 (-13.6) | 131.9 (+8.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -10.0 (-14.0) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -9.1 (-13.1) | 131.7 (+8.3) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | GCU 76 – 64 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GCU 78 – 75 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | GCU 71 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 27, 2022 | GCU 67 – 41 SHSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SHSU 58 – 56 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#29) | 3.5 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#33) | 0.51 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#38) | 0.82 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#31) | 0.526 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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