Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -1400 SHSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -17.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -13.1 (-1.1) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -15.4 (-3.4) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -15.9 (-3.9) | 145.4 (-5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -16.1 (-4.1) | 146.9 (-6.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2023 | GCU 78 – 75 SHSU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | GCU 72 – 68 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | GCU 71 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 27, 2022 | GCU 67 – 41 SHSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SHSU 58 – 56 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-3 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#47) | -2.9 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#12) | -0.65 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#14) | -0.94 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#16) | 0.468 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 36.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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