Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -270 SHSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +26 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -7.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -7.0 (+19.0) | 130.2 (-22.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -7.3 (+18.7) | 132.3 (-24.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -7.4 (+18.6) | 133.6 (-25.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -6.7 (+19.3) | 133.4 (-25.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | GCU 76 – 64 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GCU 78 – 75 SHSU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | GCU 72 – 68 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | GCU 71 – 66 SHSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SHSU 58 – 56 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#103) | 0.3 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#98) | 0.09 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#98) | -0.00 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#110) | 0.520 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.