Betting Lines
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU +100 GCU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +2 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -2.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.5 (+4.5) | 128.9 (-14.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -2.7 (+4.7) | 132.3 (-18.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -3.1 (+5.1) | 133.9 (-19.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -2.6 (+4.6) | 131.9 (-17.9) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | GCU 76 – 64 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GCU 78 – 75 SHSU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | GCU 72 – 68 SHSU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | GCU 71 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 27, 2022 | GCU 67 – 41 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#189) | 5.5 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#208) | 1.45 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | 1.21 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#201) | 0.518 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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