Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +140 SAC -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -0.2 (-2.2) | 135.6 (+32.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -1.3 (-3.3) | 132.8 (+35.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.0 (-2.0) | 138.2 (+29.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -0.1 (-2.1) | 139.0 (+29.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#240) | -0.8 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#306) | 0.31 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#298) | 0.19 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#350) | 0.529 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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