Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -298 SAC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +23 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -5.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-46.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -5.1 (+17.9) | 153.9 (-40.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -5.3 (+17.7) | 155.1 (-42.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -5.2 (+17.8) | 151.4 (-38.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -5.1 (+17.9) | 151.6 (-38.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 72 – 64 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 83.6 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#165) | -5.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#211) | -1.31 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#197) | -1.40 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#236) | 0.430 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 32.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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