Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +170 IDHO -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -3.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.2 (-3.8) | 157.2 (+8.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -3.5 (-2.5) | 157.6 (+8.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.2 (-3.8) | 154.0 (+12.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.4 (-3.6) | 154.9 (+11.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 72 – 64 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#264) | -0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#275) | -0.44 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#263) | -0.42 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#311) | 0.469 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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