Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -150 SAC +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -0.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -1.1 (-9.1) | 131.1 (+4.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -0.5 (-7.5) | 128.4 (+7.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -0.1 (-7.9) | 130.3 (+5.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.2 (-7.8) | 131.3 (+4.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#314) | -9.3 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#298) | -1.62 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#305) | -2.08 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#320) | 0.418 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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