Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -600 SAC +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -11.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -9.4 (+0.6) | 157.0 (+5.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -9.7 (+0.3) | 152.5 (+9.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -9.4 (+0.6) | 151.7 (+10.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -10.0 (+0.0) | 156.3 (+5.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | IDHO 78 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 72 – 64 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 83.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#164) | -7.5 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#164) | -1.22 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#162) | -1.60 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#199) | 0.428 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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