Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -400 SAC +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -9.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -9.0 (-7.0) | 140.7 (+13.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -7.0 (-5.0) | 138.9 (+15.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -8.3 (-6.3) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -8.2 (-6.2) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDHO 68 – 45 SAC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 23, 2026 | IDHO 86 – 76 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 67 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 72 – 64 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-11 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#250) | -11.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#258) | -2.58 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#264) | -3.47 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#283) | 0.371 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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