Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · January 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -2.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SAC +135 / IDHO -155
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual IDHO +13 147 Lost
Massey IDHO -1.8 (-11.2) — —
Massey Totals — 134.5 (+12.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -3.7 (-9.3) 132.0 (+15.0) 38% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IDHO -2.5 (-10.5) 132.0 (+15.0) 41% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IDHO -3.4 (-9.6) 132.1 (+14.9) 37% ✓
Baseline ML IDHO -3.1 (-9.9) 133.4 (+13.6) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 IDHO 68 – 45 SAC
Feb 22, 2026 IDHO 86 – 80 SAC
Jan 23, 2026 IDHO 86 – 76 SAC
Feb 8, 2025 IDHO 78 – 76 SAC
Mar 10, 2024 SAC 72 – 64 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC IDHO
Overall 7-25 14-19
Conference 3-15 8-10
Home 5-11 8-6
Away 2-13 5-11
Neutral 0-1 1-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 63.3 72.1
Avg Pts Against 73.4 76.6
Massey -10.3 (#325) -4.4 (#241)
Bradley-Terry -2.16 (#331) -0.86 (#251)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.22 (#343) -0.89 (#234)
RPI 0.380 (#347) 0.453 (#255)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC IDHO
FG% 39.2% 44.2%
3PT% 29.6% 36.4%
REB / G 33.6 33.7
OREB / G 9.6 10.2
AST / TO 0.79 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 52.4%
TOV% 21.5% 20.0%
ORB% 27.0% 30.1%
FT Rate 21.5% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 15.5%
DRB% 72.3% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 28.4% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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