Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -188 BRY +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -5.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.0 (+7.0) | 151.9 (-13.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.6 (+5.4) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.4 (+6.6) | 149.4 (-11.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -3.2 (+6.8) | 150.9 (-12.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#169) | -0.5 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#164) | 0.64 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#186) | 0.22 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#146) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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