Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WICH +110 CIN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -1.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -0.5 (-9.5) | 136.3 (-5.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -1.9 (-10.9) | 136.5 (-5.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -0.4 (-9.4) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -0.1 (-9.1) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | CIN 85 – 76 WICH |
| Jan 16, 2022 | CIN 61 – 57 WICH |
| Mar 13, 2021 | CIN 60 – 59 WICH |
| Jan 10, 2021 | WICH 82 – 76 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 16-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#124) | 6.1 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#186) | 0.53 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#164) | 0.65 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#181) | 0.531 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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