Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -135 CIN +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -5.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -6.2 (-0.2) | 146.6 (+11.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -4.9 (+1.1) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -6.1 (-0.1) | 144.9 (+13.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -5.7 (+0.3) | 145.9 (+12.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2023 | CIN 70 – 61 WICH |
| Feb 18, 2022 | CIN 85 – 76 WICH |
| Jan 16, 2022 | CIN 61 – 57 WICH |
| Mar 13, 2021 | CIN 60 – 59 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-2 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#66) | 5.1 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#34) | 0.73 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#35) | 1.38 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#18) | 0.541 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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