Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +4 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -2.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -1.7 (-5.7) | 138.0 (-20.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -2.7 (-6.7) | 136.6 (-18.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -2.1 (-6.1) | 136.3 (-18.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -1.1 (-5.1) | 136.7 (-18.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2023 | CIN 70 – 61 WICH |
| Feb 18, 2022 | CIN 85 – 76 WICH |
| Mar 13, 2021 | CIN 60 – 59 WICH |
| Jan 10, 2021 | WICH 82 – 76 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#88) | 7.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#111) | 1.02 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#99) | 1.71 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#104) | 0.528 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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