Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
American Conference · Fifth Third Arena · February 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -3.0 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIN win
Actual CIN +9 161 Won
Massey CIN -2.8 (+6.2) — —
Massey Totals — 130.6 (+30.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CIN -2.8 (+6.2) 136.2 (+24.8) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CIN -1.9 (+7.1) 135.0 (+26.0) 63% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CIN -2.5 (+6.5) 135.1 (+25.9) 61% ✓
Baseline ML CIN -2.4 (+6.6) 134.9 (+26.1) 59% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 6, 2023 CIN 70 – 61 WICH
Jan 16, 2022 CIN 61 – 57 WICH
Mar 13, 2021 CIN 60 – 59 WICH
Jan 10, 2021 WICH 82 – 76 CIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIN WICH
Overall 18-15 15-13
Conference 7-11 6-9
Home 12-6 11-6
Away 4-7 3-5
Neutral 2-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 68.5
Avg Pts Against 66.2 66.4
Massey 7.1 (#83) 7.1 (#82)
Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#110) 1.05 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.31 (#98) 1.59 (#85)
RPI 0.529 (#125) 0.545 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors CIN WICH
FG% 40.9% 40.0%
3PT% 31.7% 32.6%
REB / G 38.3 36.7
OREB / G 11.9 11.5
AST / TO 1.22 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 47.0%
TOV% 15.6% 19.2%
ORB% 31.0% 31.4%
FT Rate 19.8% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.9% 46.1%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 20.9%
DRB% 71.3% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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