Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP -125 SCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -2.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -0.6 (-9.4) | 154.9 (+13.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -2.3 (-7.7) | 154.3 (+13.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -0.2 (-10.2) | 153.1 (+14.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -0.1 (-10.1) | 153.4 (+14.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 11-5 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | 4.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#173) | 1.40 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#145) | 1.94 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#149) | 0.582 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.