Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -300 UNA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +24 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -6.2 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -3.9 (+20.1) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -3.6 (+20.4) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -4.0 (+20.0) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -3.9 (+20.1) | 144.9 (+3.1) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#243) | -5.6 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#247) | 0.03 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#247) | -0.65 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#262) | 0.485 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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