Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -150 PUR +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -6.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -4.4 (-6.4) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.4 (-6.4) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -5.0 (-7.0) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -5.3 (-7.3) | 142.2 (-2.2) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 PUR |
| Jan 22, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 PUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | OSU 73 – 69 PUR |
| Mar 11, 2023 | PUR 80 – 66 OSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PUR 82 – 55 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#7) | 14.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#39) | 3.43 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#35) | 5.51 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#40) | 0.627 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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