Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -600 OSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -7.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -7.5 (-10.5) | 141.7 (+1.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -8.3 (-11.3) | 138.7 (+4.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -7.5 (-10.5) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -7.7 (-10.7) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 PUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | OSU 73 – 69 PUR |
| Mar 11, 2023 | PUR 80 – 66 OSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PUR 82 – 55 OSU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | PUR 71 – 69 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#15) | 14.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#9) | 1.69 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.50 (#9) | 2.85 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.684 (#3) | 0.570 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.