Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -111 BYU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -3.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -3.3 (+1.7) | 145.4 (-22.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -1.1 (+3.9) | 144.1 (-21.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -2.7 (+2.3) | 144.5 (-21.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -2.9 (+2.1) | 144.6 (-21.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | BYU 73 – 63 LMU |
| Feb 3, 2023 | BYU 89 – 61 LMU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | BYU 85 – 60 LMU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | BYU 79 – 59 LMU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BYU 83 – 82 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#95) | 5.5 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#87) | 1.03 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#91) | 1.60 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#83) | 0.544 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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